Offseason ‘Buy Lows’:
I can’t speak for you guys but nothing brings me more joy than….saving money. Is it old age? Am I a cheapskate? Am I both???
Maybe I’m turning into my mom and soon I’ll be in one of those ‘Progressive’ commercials “No fussin and no cussin”
Regardless, I LOVE to get a good deal and not pay full price for ANYTHING if I don’t have to.
Oddly enough this mentality has helped me in fantasy as well and I plan on helping YOU too.
Let’s take a look at 4 players from the NFC East that I think can be bought at a discount (awesome) but can pay you in full come game day.
In this article, I will provide four different players I think will be great buy-low candidates in different scoring formats.
I’ll go with the four most popular formats: 1QB, SuperFlex, TE premium, and Multi-Flex. I know multi-flex might not be as popular as the other three, but some leagues do require managers to start 10 or more players each week and with leagues removing kickers and defenses. Starting 3 or more RBs and WRs has become the norm in some leagues.
I’d also like to add that the values for players and picks are format-specific and with most leagues being 12 teams at minimum, I used Dynasty Trade Calculators’ 12 team filter option when putting together trades and getting the value of each player and pick.
Let’s start with my favorite team:
Dallas Cowboys WR: Michael Gallup
I know what you’re thinking “Paul, Gallup was a ‘buy low’ last offseason.
Yes, he was. While the Cowboys' offense wasn’t the juggernaut we thought they’d be, Gallup was still a WR3 in 2020. (Weeks 1-16)
Not to mention he had 7 games of over 10 PPG (PPR scoring) and FIVE of those games came after Dak was lost for the season in week 5.
After what was a disappointing season for Gallup and the Cowboys’ offense overall, both Dak and Gallup will be playing for new deals in 2021 and we’ve seen how players perform during a contract year.
Now, I’m sure you’re asking “Paul, what’s it gonna cost me to get Gallup?”
I’m one step ahead of you.
According to our friends at Dynasty Trade Calculator here are a couple of different trade scenarios:
According to the guys at DTC, they have Micahel Gallup valued at:
11.2 in one QB and SuperFlex leagues.
For reference pick 1.12 is valued at 13 and pick 2.01 is valued at 10.8
I’m not saying you should trade 1.12 for Gallup, although I don’t think you’d regret it.
But, the fact that his value is higher than 2.01 leads me to believe that I’m not the only one who sees Michael Gallup as a “Buy” this season.
Here’s one trade scenario that I think I’d do 100/100 times every time:
Team 1 gets: Michael Gallup (11.2) pick 2.10 (3.8) value total = 15.0
Team 2 gets: Mecole Hardman (4.4) pick 2.01 (10.8) value total = 15.2
*These values are for 1QB leagues*
Are the player and pick values slightly higher on Team 2’s side? Sure.
The funny thing is though, I don’t think you’d need to add Hardman to 2.01, in order to get Gallup.
However, if you’re trying the team trading away Gallup, why not get another high upside WR if you can. I mean, who doesn’t want a piece of the Kansas City offense?
In the trade scenario above you get Gallup and a rookie pick.
So, come the rookie draft day you won’t feel left out.
What’s there to lose?
Oh, did I mention Gallup has been a player mentioned in trade talks for the Cowboys?
What happens if he lands in an even better situation with less competition for targets?
Remember, Gallup is just one year removed from a 1,100 yard 6 TD season.
Get him while you still can.
*Michael Gallup is one of my favorite trade targets in start 3WR and Multi-Flex leagues.*
Philadelphia Eagles WR: Jalen Reagor
If you’re a fan of the Eagles, you’re probably still wondering why Philly elected to pick Reagor over Justin Jefferson.
Don’t shoot the messenger. I’m not here to rub salt in any wounds.
While Jefferson took the world by storm in 2019, there’s still hope for Jalen Reagor.
Some people think Reagor is a glorified WR2 with no chance to be a team’s true alpha WR.
I think Reagor is in a prime position to prove “the haters” wrong.
With a new coaching regime in 2021, a new QB, DeSean Jackson, Zach Ertz, and Alshon Jeffrey on their way out the door, Reagor will get his chance to prove to Philadelphia and the fans that drafting him was the right choice.
With 4.4 speed Reagor showed last season that he can be a deep ball threat in Week 1 with a reception of 55 yards.
After dealing with an injury that led to him missing 5 games and the Carson Wentz debacle coming to an end after Week 13, Reagor showed good chemistry with Jalen Hurts, averaging 5 targets per game and 35 rec yards per game.
Now I know those numbers don’t jump off the page, but for a rookie with no off-season, an early-season injury, and playing with two different QBs, those numbers inspire some hope for the future.
For fun let's see what his end of season numbers would look like based on those averages:
16 * 5 = 90 targets
16 * 35 = 560 receiving yards
Again, not eye-popping numbers. The weeks Hurts started at QB, Reagor’s yards per reception were close to 10 yards every week!
And, Philly wanted to get the ball in Reagor’s hands any way they could evidenced by the 3 carries he got on the season. One going for 11 yards and another going for 19 yards.
When you factor in draft capital (1st round pick)
Team situation ( new coaching staff, QB, and veteran players leaving)
Role on the team ( Day 1 starter)
What do you have to lose?
Let’s take a look and see what it would cost you in a trade.
According to our guys at Dynasty Trade Calculator, Reagor is valued at 10.9 in both 1QB and SuperFlex leagues.
Lower than our boy Michael Gallup, but that will work in our favor.
As of today, Reagor is valued higher than any 2nd round rookie pick and like Gallup, that’s what I’d offer someone to get the trade talks going.
Let’s look at a trade scenario:
Team 1: Jalen Reagor (10.9) and 2.08 (4.0) value total 14.9
Team 2: Christian Kirk (7.1) and 2.03 (7.6) value total 14.7
*These values are for 1QB leagues*
Now, I can’t speak for you but I’d be extremely happy to be on either side of this deal!
For conversation's sake, let’s talk about the Reagor side.
You get a receiver who is two years younger, no alpha WR to fight for targets with and you only move back 5 spots in the rookie draft….Yes, please!
While the Eagles figure out what their future is, grab Reagor before his future peak.